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Senior housing and care-sector real estate
Jens Mølhøj Olrik – Olrik Investment
Olrik Investment ApS · Vallensbæk · Off-market advisory

Senior housing & care homes – stable investments in a growing market

We advise on senior housing, nursing homes and care-sector real estate for pension funds, institutional investors and family offices. The segment is driven by strong demographic demand – the Danish 80+ population is ca. 356,000 (2025) and is expected to grow to well above 510,000 by 2040.

Stable cash flows Long leases Demographic tailwind

Why is the senior segment attractive?

Supply of modern senior housing and care homes is constrained while demand rises. This delivers stable cash flow, low vacancy and long leases – typically 15-25 years. We see rising institutional interest, particularly from pension funds and capital groupsseeking non-cyclical real estate assets as part of their allocation. Major Danish investors like Sampension and Northern Horizon have executed several acquisitions in the sector, and we expect continued consolidation and portfolio trading.

Senior housing development

Where does senior IRR come from?

Senior housing yield-stack

Private nursing homes and senior housing deliver 4.75-6% IRR primarily via stable, regulated cashflows.

Total IRR (20 years)5,5%
Fixed lease (regulation-secured)4,7%
15-25y contracts with covenant
CPI indexation p.a.0,5%
Regulated rent escalation
Demographic appreciation0,3%
Structural supply-demand

Indicative for private care homes 2026. Lower risk than traditional residential due to regulatory backing and demographic tailwind.

Real estate portfolio

Our mandates in senior living and care

We have active investors seeking private nursing homes (friplejehjem), senior communities, senior co-living and care facilities – both single assets and portfolios. Investment tickets typically DKK 50m to 500m+, IRR 4.5-8% depending on risk. Geographic focus covers all of Denmark with emphasis on growth cities and suburbs. See also our residential projects and broader real estate mandates.

Demographic tailwind
+63%80+ by 2040

The Danish 80+ population is set to grow from ~356,000 (2025) to well above 510,000 by 2040 — a powerful structural demographic tailwind.

The supply of modern care homes and senior housing lags behind demand. This drives low cyclicality and a 15-20 year structural tailwind for institutional investors.
Statistics Denmark (2025 population projection)
Read the operations guide

Discretion, experience and trusted relationships

Supply of modern, contemporary nursing homes and senior housing does not grow at the same pace as demand. This creates a long-term investment case with low cyclical sensitivity and attractive return profiles.

Frequently asked questions about senior housing and care homes

Start a confidential conversation

Call us directly – or send a short enquiry. All dialogues are non-binding and confidential.

+45 30 58 81 53 jens.olrik@gmail.com
Nordmarksvænge 80, 2625 Vallensbæk, Denmark
Coverage: Denmark, Nordics and Europe
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